Short answer
AI will reshape this job more than most, but BLS does not forecast it disappearing. The exposure is among the highest BLS measured, yet it still projects employment to grow faster than average.
AI and jobs
The Bureau of Labor Statistics places medical records specialists in its very high AI exposure category, among the occupations most exposed to current AI. BLS projects employment to change by +7.8% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 14,000 openings a year.
Short answer
AI will reshape this job more than most, but BLS does not forecast it disappearing. The exposure is among the highest BLS measured, yet it still projects employment to grow faster than average.
The federal measure
The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes a relative AI exposure category for each occupation it projects, built from five public measures of where AI could be, or already is, used to assist with or complete the work. Medical Records Specialists land in the very high category: among the occupations most exposed to current AI.
Where this job sits on the BLS scale
786 occupations in the NueCareer bank, in BLS's four relative categories; width shows how many fall in each
Source: BLS Employment Projections, AI exposure categories supplemental table.
Inside the work
O*NET rates how important each work activity is to an occupation and how often each working condition comes up. The ratings below are the ones that move the job's NueCareer AI-resilience score the most: the ones that pull it up, and the ones that pull it down. Only ratings clearly above the midpoint count.
Physical, hands-on and person-to-person work
Routine, repeatable and screen-based work
O*NET 31.0 Database task statements, most important first.
The jobs
Exposure says where AI meets the work. The BLS projection says what the labor market is expected to do over 2025–2035. BLS projects +7.8% change in employment over the decade, against 3.5% across all occupations, and about 14,000 openings a year once retirements and career changes are counted. About 194,720 people work in the job today, at a median of $51,140 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).
Full medical records specialist profile: pay by state, entry route and skills
Options
Careers O*NET lists as related to the work, or in the same field at similar pay, that BLS places in a lower exposure category.
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical
Care for ill, injured, or convalescing patients or persons with disabilities in hospitals, nursing homes, clinics, private homes, group homes, and similar institutions.
Healthcare Support
Perform administrative and certain clinical duties under the direction of a physician.
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical
Assess patient health problems and needs, develop and implement nursing care plans, and maintain medical records.
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical
Prepare medications under the direction of a pharmacist.
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical
Diagnose, treat, and help prevent allergic diseases and disease processes affecting the immune system.
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical
Assist patients in obtaining services, understanding policies and making health care decisions.
Questions
AI will reshape this job more than most, but BLS does not forecast it disappearing. The exposure is among the highest BLS measured, yet it still projects employment to grow faster than average. BLS defines exposure as AI being able to assist with or complete some of the work, and says it does not imply job loss, productivity gains or wage effects. BLS projects employment to change by +7.8% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 14,000 openings a year.
BLS sorts 786 occupations into four relative categories: low, moderate, high and very high. Medical Records Specialists are in the very high category, alongside 198 other occupations. The categories combine five public measures of where AI could be or already is used, and they compare occupations with each other rather than giving an absolute risk.
In O*NET's description of the work, the parts that overlap most with what AI handles well are repeating the same tasks, documenting/recording information and working with computers. The parts that hold up best are face-to-face discussions, establishing and maintaining interpersonal relationships and developing and building teams. These come from O*NET ratings of how important each activity is to the job, read through NueCareer's AI-resilience method.
On NueCareer's AI-resilience score, built from O*NET work activities, medical records specialists score 25 out of 100, higher than 16% of the occupations we score. The job pays a median of $51,140 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025). No job is fully safe from technological change, but the federal exposure category and the projected openings are the two numbers worth weighing.
Licensed Practical Nurse (low exposure, $64,400 median), Medical Assistant (moderate exposure, $45,690 median), Registered Nurse (high exposure, $97,550 median), Pharmacy Technician (high exposure, $45,750 median). Each is in a lower BLS exposure category than medical records specialists, and most are listed by O*NET as related to the work.
The AI exposure category is the Bureau of Labor Statistics'. The AI-resilience score and the activity breakdown are NueCareer's analysis of O*NET 31.0 Database data (method), not a federal figure. More: jobs most exposed to AI, jobs least exposed to AI, or check any job.