Short answer
Not replaced, but changed. BLS rates the exposure as high, so AI can help with a real share of the work, yet it still projects employment to grow faster than average.
AI and jobs
Will AI Replace Medical and Health Services Managers? (2026)
The Bureau of Labor Statistics places medical and health services managers in its high AI exposure category, above the middle of the pack: a substantial share of the work overlaps with what AI can do. BLS projects employment to change by +24.2% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 62,300 openings a year.
- BLS AI exposure
- HighBLS EP supplemental table
- AI-resilience score
- 31/100Higher than 25% of jobs · NueCareer
- Projected change
- +24.2%BLS EP 2025–2035; all jobs 3.5%
- Openings a year
- 62,300BLS EP 2025–2035
The federal measure
How exposed medical and health services managers are to AI
The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes a relative AI exposure category for each occupation it projects, built from five public measures of where AI could be, or already is, used to assist with or complete the work. Medical and Health Services Managers land in the high category: above the middle of the pack: a substantial share of the work overlaps with what AI can do.
Where this job sits on the BLS scale
786 occupations in the NueCareer bank, in BLS's four relative categories; width shows how many fall in each
- Low203 occupations · 26%
- Moderate194 occupations · 25%
- High · this job190 occupations · 24%
- Very high199 occupations · 25%
Source: BLS Employment Projections, AI exposure categories supplemental table.
- Exposure is relative. The categories rank occupations against each other; they are not a probability that a job is automated.
- BLS says exposure does not imply job loss, productivity gains, automation probability or wage effects. A highly exposed job can still grow if AI makes the people in it more productive.
- The classification reflects AI capabilities as the underlying studies measured them. Read the BLS method and limitations.
Inside the work
What AI can and cannot do in this job
O*NET rates how important each work activity is to an occupation and how often each working condition comes up. The ratings below are the ones that move the job's NueCareer AI-resilience score the most: the ones that pull it up, and the ones that pull it down. Only ratings clearly above the midpoint count.
What holds up
Physical, hands-on and person-to-person work
- Coaching and developing others4.5/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Face-to-face discussions4.6/5O*NET work context, frequency or level
- Resolving conflicts and negotiating with others4.1/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Establishing and maintaining interpersonal relationships4.4/5O*NET work activity, importance
What AI reaches first
Routine, repeatable and screen-based work
- Processing information4.3/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Documenting/recording information4.1/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Working with computers4.6/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Evaluating information to determine compliance with standards4.5/5O*NET work activity, importance
The tasks O*NET lists for medical and health services managers
- Direct, supervise and evaluate work activities of medical, nursing, technical, clerical, service, maintenance, and other personnel.
- Establish work schedules and assignments for staff, according to workload, space, and equipment availability.
- Direct or conduct recruitment, hiring, and training of personnel.
- Manage change in integrated health care delivery systems, such as work restructuring, technological innovations, and shifts in the focus of care.
- Establish objectives and evaluative or operational criteria for units managed.
- Prepare activity reports to inform management of the status and implementation plans of programs, services, and quality initiatives.
O*NET 31.0 Database task statements, most important first.
The jobs
Will there still be jobs?
Exposure says where AI meets the work. The BLS projection says what the labor market is expected to do over 2025–2035. BLS projects +24.2% change in employment over the decade, against 3.5% across all occupations, and about 62,300 openings a year once retirements and career changes are counted. About 597,080 people work in the job today, at a median of $123,860 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).
Full medical and health services manager profile: pay by state, entry route and skills
Options
Related careers less exposed to AI than medical and health services managers
Careers O*NET lists as related to the work, or in the same field at similar pay, that BLS places in a lower exposure category.
Administrative Services Manager
Management
- Median pay
- $114,130median a year
- Growth
- +5.2%
- Openings / yr
- 22,000
- Education
- Bachelor's
- Moderate
- BLS AI exposure
- 43/100
- resilience
Plan, direct, or coordinate one or more administrative services of an organization, such as records and information management, mail distribution, and other office support services.
Questions
Will AI Replace Medical and Health Services Managers? FAQ
Will AI replace medical and health services managers?
Not replaced, but changed. BLS rates the exposure as high, so AI can help with a real share of the work, yet it still projects employment to grow faster than average. BLS defines exposure as AI being able to assist with or complete some of the work, and says it does not imply job loss, productivity gains or wage effects. BLS projects employment to change by +24.2% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 62,300 openings a year.
How exposed are medical and health services managers to AI?
BLS sorts 786 occupations into four relative categories: low, moderate, high and very high. Medical and Health Services Managers are in the high category, alongside 189 other occupations. The categories combine five public measures of where AI could be or already is used, and they compare occupations with each other rather than giving an absolute risk.
What parts of a medical and health services manager's job can AI do?
In O*NET's description of the work, the parts that overlap most with what AI handles well are processing information, documenting/recording information and working with computers. The parts that hold up best are coaching and developing others, face-to-face discussions and resolving conflicts and negotiating with others. These come from O*NET ratings of how important each activity is to the job, read through NueCareer's AI-resilience method.
Is being a medical and health services manager a safe career from AI?
On NueCareer's AI-resilience score, built from O*NET work activities, medical and health services managers score 31 out of 100, higher than 25% of the occupations we score. The job pays a median of $123,860 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025). No job is fully safe from technological change, but the federal exposure category and the projected openings are the two numbers worth weighing.
What careers similar to medical and health services managers are less exposed to AI?
Administrative Services Manager (moderate exposure, $114,130 median). Each is in a lower BLS exposure category than medical and health services managers, and most are listed by O*NET as related to the work.
The AI exposure category is the Bureau of Labor Statistics'. The AI-resilience score and the activity breakdown are NueCareer's analysis of O*NET 31.0 Database data (method), not a federal figure. More: jobs most exposed to AI, jobs least exposed to AI, or check any job.