Short answer
Unlikely. BLS rates the work's exposure to AI as moderate, below the middle of the pack, and still projects employment to grow faster than average.
AI and jobs
The Bureau of Labor Statistics places occupational therapy assistants in its moderate AI exposure category, below the middle of the pack: some of the work overlaps with what AI can do, much of it does not. BLS projects employment to change by +21.5% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 8,100 openings a year.
Short answer
Unlikely. BLS rates the work's exposure to AI as moderate, below the middle of the pack, and still projects employment to grow faster than average.
The federal measure
The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes a relative AI exposure category for each occupation it projects, built from five public measures of where AI could be, or already is, used to assist with or complete the work. Occupational Therapy Assistants land in the moderate category: below the middle of the pack: some of the work overlaps with what AI can do, much of it does not.
Where this job sits on the BLS scale
786 occupations in the NueCareer bank, in BLS's four relative categories; width shows how many fall in each
Source: BLS Employment Projections, AI exposure categories supplemental table.
Inside the work
O*NET rates how important each work activity is to an occupation and how often each working condition comes up. The ratings below are the ones that move the job's NueCareer AI-resilience score the most: the ones that pull it up, and the ones that pull it down. Only ratings clearly above the midpoint count.
Physical, hands-on and person-to-person work
Routine, repeatable and screen-based work
O*NET 31.0 Database task statements, most important first.
The jobs
Exposure says where AI meets the work. The BLS projection says what the labor market is expected to do over 2025–2035. BLS projects +21.5% change in employment over the decade, against 3.5% across all occupations, and about 8,100 openings a year once retirements and career changes are counted. About 51,290 people work in the job today, at a median of $72,300 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).
Full occupational therapy assistant profile: pay by state, entry route and skills
Options
Careers O*NET lists as related to the work, or in the same field at similar pay, that BLS places in a lower exposure category.
Healthcare Support
Assist physical therapists in providing physical therapy treatments and procedures.
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical
Assess, treat, and care for patients with breathing disorders.
Healthcare Support
Under close supervision of a physical therapist or physical therapy assistant, perform only delegated, selected, or routine tasks in specific situations.
Questions
Unlikely. BLS rates the work's exposure to AI as moderate, below the middle of the pack, and still projects employment to grow faster than average. BLS defines exposure as AI being able to assist with or complete some of the work, and says it does not imply job loss, productivity gains or wage effects. BLS projects employment to change by +21.5% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 8,100 openings a year.
BLS sorts 786 occupations into four relative categories: low, moderate, high and very high. Occupational Therapy Assistants are in the moderate category, alongside 193 other occupations. The categories combine five public measures of where AI could be or already is used, and they compare occupations with each other rather than giving an absolute risk.
In O*NET's description of the work, the parts that overlap most with what AI handles well are documenting/recording information, repeating the same tasks and working with computers. The parts that hold up best are assisting and caring for others, performing general physical activities and face-to-face discussions. These come from O*NET ratings of how important each activity is to the job, read through NueCareer's AI-resilience method.
On NueCareer's AI-resilience score, built from O*NET work activities, occupational therapy assistants score 52 out of 100, higher than 66% of the occupations we score. The job pays a median of $72,300 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025). No job is fully safe from technological change, but the federal exposure category and the projected openings are the two numbers worth weighing.
Physical Therapist Assistant (low exposure, $68,380 median), Respiratory Therapist (low exposure, $82,280 median), Physical Therapist Aide (low exposure, $35,240 median). Each is in a lower BLS exposure category than occupational therapy assistants, and most are listed by O*NET as related to the work.
The AI exposure category is the Bureau of Labor Statistics'. The AI-resilience score and the activity breakdown are NueCareer's analysis of O*NET 31.0 Database data (method), not a federal figure. More: jobs most exposed to AI, jobs least exposed to AI, or check any job.