Short answer
The job is exposed and shrinking. BLS rates the exposure as high and projects employment to fall, so expect fewer roles and more AI in the ones that remain.
AI and jobs
Will AI Replace Education Administrators? (2026)
The Bureau of Labor Statistics places education administrators in its high AI exposure category, above the middle of the pack: a substantial share of the work overlaps with what AI can do. BLS projects employment to fall by 0.3% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 20,600 openings a year.
- BLS AI exposure
- HighBLS EP supplemental table
- AI-resilience score
- 53/100Higher than 69% of jobs · NueCareer
- Projected change
- -0.3%BLS EP 2025–2035; all jobs 3.5%
- Openings a year
- 20,600BLS EP 2025–2035
The federal measure
How exposed education administrators are to AI
The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes a relative AI exposure category for each occupation it projects, built from five public measures of where AI could be, or already is, used to assist with or complete the work. Education Administrators land in the high category: above the middle of the pack: a substantial share of the work overlaps with what AI can do.
Where this job sits on the BLS scale
786 occupations in the NueCareer bank, in BLS's four relative categories; width shows how many fall in each
- Low203 occupations · 26%
- Moderate194 occupations · 25%
- High · this job190 occupations · 24%
- Very high199 occupations · 25%
Source: BLS Employment Projections, AI exposure categories supplemental table.
- Exposure is relative. The categories rank occupations against each other; they are not a probability that a job is automated.
- BLS says exposure does not imply job loss, productivity gains, automation probability or wage effects. A highly exposed job can still grow if AI makes the people in it more productive.
- The classification reflects AI capabilities as the underlying studies measured them. Read the BLS method and limitations.
Inside the work
What AI can and cannot do in this job
O*NET rates how important each work activity is to an occupation and how often each working condition comes up. The ratings below are the ones that move the job's NueCareer AI-resilience score the most: the ones that pull it up, and the ones that pull it down. Only ratings clearly above the midpoint count.
What holds up
Physical, hands-on and person-to-person work
- Establishing and maintaining interpersonal relationships4.9/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Face-to-face discussions4.9/5O*NET work context, frequency or level
- Resolving conflicts and negotiating with others4.3/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Coaching and developing others4.5/5O*NET work activity, importance
What AI reaches first
Routine, repeatable and screen-based work
- Processing information4.0/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Performing administrative activities4.0/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Documenting/recording information3.9/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Email4.9/5O*NET work context, frequency or level
The tasks O*NET lists for education administrators
- Set educational standards and goals, and help establish policies and procedures to carry them out.
- Confer with parents and staff to discuss educational activities, policies, and student behavior or learning problems.
- Plan and lead professional development activities for teachers, administrators, and support staff.
- Direct and coordinate activities of teachers, administrators, and support staff at schools, public agencies, and institutions.
- Create school improvement plans, using student performance data.
- Evaluate curricula, teaching methods, and programs to determine their effectiveness, efficiency, and use, and to ensure compliance with federal, state, and local regulations.
O*NET 31.0 Database task statements, most important first.
The jobs
Will there still be jobs?
Exposure says where AI meets the work. The BLS projection says what the labor market is expected to do over 2025–2035. BLS projects -0.3% change in employment over the decade, against 3.5% across all occupations, and about 20,600 openings a year once retirements and career changes are counted. About 328,330 people work in the job today, at a median of $105,870 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).
Options
Related careers less exposed to AI than education administrators
Careers O*NET lists as related to the work, or in the same field at similar pay, that BLS places in a lower exposure category.
Farmer or Agricultural Manager
Management
- Median pay
- $89,900median a year
- Growth
- −3.4%
- Openings / yr
- 70,800
- Education
- High school
- Moderate
- BLS AI exposure
- 60/100
- resilience
Plan, direct, or coordinate the management or operation of farms, ranches, greenhouses, aquacultural operations, nurseries, timber tracts, or other agricultural establishments.
Questions
Will AI Replace Education Administrators? FAQ
Will AI replace education administrators?
The job is exposed and shrinking. BLS rates the exposure as high and projects employment to fall, so expect fewer roles and more AI in the ones that remain. BLS defines exposure as AI being able to assist with or complete some of the work, and says it does not imply job loss, productivity gains or wage effects. BLS projects employment to fall by 0.3% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 20,600 openings a year.
How exposed are education administrators to AI?
BLS sorts 786 occupations into four relative categories: low, moderate, high and very high. Education Administrators are in the high category, alongside 189 other occupations. The categories combine five public measures of where AI could be or already is used, and they compare occupations with each other rather than giving an absolute risk.
What parts of an education administrator, kindergarten through secondary's job can AI do?
In O*NET's description of the work, the parts that overlap most with what AI handles well are processing information, performing administrative activities and documenting/recording information. The parts that hold up best are establishing and maintaining interpersonal relationships, face-to-face discussions and resolving conflicts and negotiating with others. These come from O*NET ratings of how important each activity is to the job, read through NueCareer's AI-resilience method.
Is being an education administrator, kindergarten through secondary a safe career from AI?
On NueCareer's AI-resilience score, built from O*NET work activities, education administrators score 53 out of 100, higher than 69% of the occupations we score. The job pays a median of $105,870 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025). No job is fully safe from technological change, but the federal exposure category and the projected openings are the two numbers worth weighing.
What careers similar to education administrators are less exposed to AI?
Farmer or Agricultural Manager (moderate exposure, $89,900 median). Each is in a lower BLS exposure category than education administrators, and most are listed by O*NET as related to the work.
The AI exposure category is the Bureau of Labor Statistics'. The AI-resilience score and the activity breakdown are NueCareer's analysis of O*NET 31.0 Database data (method), not a federal figure. More: jobs most exposed to AI, jobs least exposed to AI, or check any job.