Short answer
Unlikely. BLS rates the work's exposure to AI as moderate, below the middle of the pack, and still projects employment to grow faster than average.
AI and jobs
Will AI Replace Chefs? (2026)
The Bureau of Labor Statistics places chefs in its moderate AI exposure category, below the middle of the pack: some of the work overlaps with what AI can do, much of it does not. BLS projects employment to change by +6.6% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 25,200 openings a year.
- BLS AI exposure
- ModerateBLS EP supplemental table
- AI-resilience score
- 60/100Higher than 85% of jobs · NueCareer
- Projected change
- +6.6%BLS EP 2025–2035; all jobs 3.5%
- Openings a year
- 25,200BLS EP 2025–2035
The federal measure
How exposed chefs are to AI
The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes a relative AI exposure category for each occupation it projects, built from five public measures of where AI could be, or already is, used to assist with or complete the work. Chefs land in the moderate category: below the middle of the pack: some of the work overlaps with what AI can do, much of it does not.
Where this job sits on the BLS scale
786 occupations in the NueCareer bank, in BLS's four relative categories; width shows how many fall in each
- Low203 occupations · 26%
- Moderate · this job194 occupations · 25%
- High190 occupations · 24%
- Very high199 occupations · 25%
Source: BLS Employment Projections, AI exposure categories supplemental table.
- Exposure is relative. The categories rank occupations against each other; they are not a probability that a job is automated.
- BLS says exposure does not imply job loss, productivity gains, automation probability or wage effects. A highly exposed job can still grow if AI makes the people in it more productive.
- The classification reflects AI capabilities as the underlying studies measured them. Read the BLS method and limitations.
Inside the work
What AI can and cannot do in this job
O*NET rates how important each work activity is to an occupation and how often each working condition comes up. The ratings below are the ones that move the job's NueCareer AI-resilience score the most: the ones that pull it up, and the ones that pull it down. Only ratings clearly above the midpoint count.
What holds up
Physical, hands-on and person-to-person work
- Face-to-face discussions4.9/5O*NET work context, frequency or level
- Hands-on work with tools and objects4.5/5O*NET work context, frequency or level
- Coaching and developing others3.9/5O*NET work activity, importance
- Performing general physical activities3.7/5O*NET work activity, importance
What AI reaches first
Routine, repeatable and screen-based work
- Repetitive motions4.4/5O*NET work context, frequency or level
- Email4.9/5O*NET work context, frequency or level
- Repeating the same tasks3.8/5O*NET work context, frequency or level
- Getting information3.9/5O*NET work activity, importance
The tasks O*NET lists for chefs
- Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.
- Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.
- Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.
- Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.
- Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.
- Check the quantity and quality of received products.
O*NET 31.0 Database task statements, most important first.
The jobs
Will there still be jobs?
Exposure says where AI meets the work. The BLS projection says what the labor market is expected to do over 2025–2035. BLS projects +6.6% change in employment over the decade, against 3.5% across all occupations, and about 25,200 openings a year once retirements and career changes are counted. About 200,040 people work in the job today, at a median of $62,470 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025).
Questions
Will AI Replace Chefs? FAQ
Will AI replace chefs?
Unlikely. BLS rates the work's exposure to AI as moderate, below the middle of the pack, and still projects employment to grow faster than average. BLS defines exposure as AI being able to assist with or complete some of the work, and says it does not imply job loss, productivity gains or wage effects. BLS projects employment to change by +6.6% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 25,200 openings a year.
How exposed are chefs to AI?
BLS sorts 786 occupations into four relative categories: low, moderate, high and very high. Chefs are in the moderate category, alongside 193 other occupations. The categories combine five public measures of where AI could be or already is used, and they compare occupations with each other rather than giving an absolute risk.
What parts of a chef's job can AI do?
In O*NET's description of the work, the parts that overlap most with what AI handles well are repetitive motions, email and repeating the same tasks. The parts that hold up best are face-to-face discussions, hands-on work with tools and objects and coaching and developing others. These come from O*NET ratings of how important each activity is to the job, read through NueCareer's AI-resilience method.
Is being a chef a safe career from AI?
On NueCareer's AI-resilience score, built from O*NET work activities, chefs score 60 out of 100, higher than 85% of the occupations we score. The job pays a median of $62,470 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025). No job is fully safe from technological change, but the federal exposure category and the projected openings are the two numbers worth weighing.
The AI exposure category is the Bureau of Labor Statistics'. The AI-resilience score and the activity breakdown are NueCareer's analysis of O*NET 31.0 Database data (method), not a federal figure. More: jobs most exposed to AI, jobs least exposed to AI, or check any job.