Business and Financial Operations

Catastrophe Modeler Salary (2026), outlook and how to become one

Uses computer models of hurricanes, earthquakes, wildfires and floods to estimate how much insurers could lose in a disaster.

Median pay
$117,330
Growth to 2035
+7.4%
Openings a year
4,800
Typical entry
Bachelor's

Uses computer models of hurricanes, earthquakes, wildfires and floods to estimate how much insurers could lose in a disaster. BLS does not publish separate figures for financial risk specialists; it counts them within financial risk specialist (SOC 13-2054), whose median pay is $117,330 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025). Typical entry-level education: Bachelor's degree.

  • SOC 13-2054
  • Business and Financial Operations
  • Last updated October 9, 2026

At a glance

Catastrophe Modeler in four numbers

Median pay
$117,330a year, or $56.41/hr
Lowest 10% $65KTop 10% $196K

US median, all jobs: $50,980

BLS OEWS, May 2025
Projected growth
+7.4%Much faster than average
This career
+7.4%
All jobs
+3.5%
Projected employment change, 2025–2035
ItemValue
This career+7.4%
All jobs+3.5%
BLS EP, 2025–2035
Openings a year
4,80066,000 jobs today
  • Jobs in 202566K
  • Projected 203570.8K
Employment, 2025–2035
ItemValue
Jobs in 202566K
Projected 203570.8K
BLS EP, 2025–2035
Typical education
Bachelor'sneeded to enterBLS EP, 2025–2035; mix: O*NET

Also advertised as: Cat Modeler, Catastrophe Risk Analyst, Catastrophe Modeling Analyst, Natural Catastrophe Analyst, Cat Risk Manager.

Pay

How much do Financial Risk Specialists make?

Annual pay, lowest-paid to highest-paid

Every catastrophe modeler in the US, by percentile of annual wage

Median

$117,330

Middle half earn $83,980 to $158,250

10th
$64,820
25th
$83,980
75th
$158,250
90th
$196,110

All US occupations: $50,980

Catastrophe Modeler annual wages
PercentileValue
10th$64,820
25th$83,980
Median$117,330
75th$158,250
90th$196,110
All US occupations$50,980

Source: BLS OEWS, May 2025

Median annual wage
$117,330
Median hourly wage
$56.41/hr
Mean annual wage
$124,420
People employed
63,850

Versus all US occupations

At $117,330, Financial Risk Specialists earn 130% above the $50,980 median across all US occupations, a difference of $66,350 a year.

Versus business and financial operations occupations

Inside the Business and Financial Operations group, where the middle occupation pays $80,730, this is 45% above the group median.

Pay range

The top 10% earn $196,110 or more while the bottom 10% earn $64,820, a gap of 3.0×. That is an unusually wide spread, which usually tracks specialisation, employer type and years of experience.

Rank in the bank

This median pays more than 84% of the 1,741 occupations in the NueCareer career bank.

Highest-paying state

New Hampshire pays the most at $158,320, and still leads at $151,990 once local prices are taken into account.

Pay by state

Which states pay Financial Risk Specialists the most?

State medians come from the same OEWS release as the national figures. The cost-of-living column divides each state median by that state's BEA Regional Price Parity, restating pay in national-average dollars so a high-cost state and a low-cost one can be compared directly.

Top 10 states by median annual wage for Financial Risk Specialists
StateMedianCOL-adjustedEmployed
1New Hampshire$158,320$151,990300
2Maine$141,020$145,307N/A
3Delaware$139,440$139,7081,160
4New York$136,830$126,78712,060
5North Carolina$132,040$139,9833,200
6Massachusetts$130,400$123,3021,440
7New Jersey$129,220$118,7632,760
8California$129,110$116,6095,740
9Virginia$126,510$125,1291,770
10Washington$123,150$115,079900
See all 51 states, sortable, with cost-of-living adjustments

Job outlook

Is Catastrophe Modeler a growing career?

Projected change in jobs

Employment change over 2025–2035, against every US occupation

Financial Risk Specialists
+7.4%
All US occupations
+3.5%

Much faster than average. +7.4% projected growth vs 3.5% for all occupations.

Projected employment change, 2025–2035
ItemValue
Financial Risk Specialists+7.4%
All US occupations+3.5%

Source: BLS EP, 2025–2035

Much faster than average

BLS projects employment of Financial Risk Specialists to change 7.4% over 2025–2035, roughly 2.1× the 3.5% projected for all occupations. That is 4,900 more jobs.

Annual openings

About 4,800 openings are projected each year, 7.3% of the 66,000 jobs that existed in 2025. Most come from workers leaving the occupation, not from growth alone.

Getting in

How to become a Catastrophe Modeler

A bachelor's degree in mathematics, statistics, actuarial science, geography, geology, meteorology, engineering or a related field is typical. Some modelers have master's degrees in atmospheric science or earth science.

Most start as analysts at insurers, reinsurers, brokers or modeling vendors and learn vendor platforms on the job. Skills in SQL, Python, R and GIS are valuable. Actuarial exams from the Casualty Actuarial Society or risk credentials like GARP's Sustainability and Climate Risk certificate can help with advancement.

  1. 1

    Typical entry-level education

    Bachelor's degree

  2. 2

    Work experience in a related occupation

    None

  3. 3

    Typical on-the-job training

    None

  4. 4

    Preparation needed (O*NET job zone)

    Medium preparation

BLS Employment Projections, 2025–2035; job zone from O*NET 31.0 Database.

The work

What does a Catastrophe Modeler do?

Catastrophe modelers help insurers, reinsurers and brokers understand their exposure to natural disasters. They take portfolios of insured properties, clean and code the data, and run them through catastrophe models that simulate thousands of possible events.

The results show the probable losses from a severe hurricane season or a major earthquake, which drive pricing, reinsurance purchases, capital requirements and ratings. Modelers explain where results come from, adjust for model weaknesses, and compare vendor models from firms such as Verisk and Moody's. Some build in-house models for perils like wildfire, severe convective storms, or cyber events, and they respond quickly when a real disaster strikes to estimate losses.

Day-to-day tasks

  1. Prepare and validate insured property exposure data
  2. Run catastrophe model analyses for portfolios
  3. Estimate probable maximum losses for disaster scenarios
  4. Compare results across vendor models
  5. Support reinsurance pricing and purchasing decisions
  6. Estimate losses after real catastrophe events
  7. Communicate model results and limitations to underwriters

Typical tasks, researched by NueCareer from the sources below.

Working conditions and hours

Catastrophe modelers work in offices or remotely for insurers, reinsurers, brokers and model vendors. Hours are regular most of the year but intense around reinsurance renewals and immediately after major disasters, when companies need loss estimates fast.

Tools and software

  • Accounting software · in demand
  • Analytical or scientific software · in demand
  • Business intelligence and data analysis software · in demand
  • Content workflow software · in demand
  • Customer relationship management CRM software · in demand
  • Data base management system software · in demand
  • Data base reporting software · in demand
  • Data base user interface and query software · in demand
  • Development environment software · in demand
  • Document management software · in demand
  • Electronic mail software · in demand
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software · in demand

“In demand” marks an O*NET Employer-Based Hot Technology, software named in real job postings for this occupation.

Personality fit

What personality type suits a Catastrophe Modeler?

Interest profile

NueCareer estimate (Holland code ICR) built on O*NET's Financial Risk Specialist profile, scored 1 to 7

Catastrophe Modeler · Realistic: 3Catastrophe Modeler · Investigative: 5Catastrophe Modeler · Artistic: 1Catastrophe Modeler · Social: 2Catastrophe Modeler · Enterprising: 5Catastrophe Modeler · Conventional: 5
Catastrophe Modeler interest profile
AxisCatastrophe Modeler
Realistic3
Investigative5
Artistic1
Social2
Enterprising5
Conventional5

Source: O*NET 31.0 Database

What the work is built around

Day to day this is work built around organising, following procedures and working precisely with data, combined with investigating, analysing and solving problems with ideas and data.

  • Conventional5.4
  • Investigative5.3
  • Enterprising4.7
  • Realistic2.6
  • Social2.5
  • Artistic1.3

Closest MBTI types

NueCareer fit scores: cosine similarity between each MBTI type's interest vector and this occupation's O*NET interest profile. Not a BLS or O*NET figure; the method is documented on our methodology page.

Questions

Catastrophe Modeler: frequently asked questions

How much do Financial Risk Specialists make?

BLS does not publish a separate wage for financial risk specialists. It counts them within financial risk specialist, whose median pay is $117,330 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025). The middle half of that occupation earn between $83,980 and $158,250, and the top 10% earn $196,110 or more.

Do you need a degree to become a Catastrophe Modeler?

Yes. BLS reports a bachelor's degree as the typical entry-level education for Financial Risk Specialists, and O*NET rates the preparation needed as medium preparation.

Is Catastrophe Modeler a growing career?

Yes, strongly. Employment is projected to grow 7.4% over 2025–2035, more than double the 3.5% projected for all occupations (BLS EP, 2025–2035). BLS still projects about 4,800 openings a year, mostly from workers retiring or moving to other work.

What does a Catastrophe Modeler do?

Catastrophe modelers help insurers, reinsurers and brokers understand their exposure to natural disasters. A typical task: prepare and validate insured property exposure data. Employers most often ask for Accounting software, Analytical or scientific software, Business intelligence and data analysis software.

Which states pay Financial Risk Specialists the most?

The highest state medians for Financial Risk Specialists are New Hampshire ($158,320), Maine ($141,020), Delaware ($139,440) (BLS OEWS, May 2025).

What personality type suits a Catastrophe Modeler?

O*NET scores Financial Risk Specialists highest on the Conventional, Investigative and Enterprising interest areas, so the work mixes organising, following procedures and working precisely with data with investigating, analysing and solving problems with ideas and data. On NueCareer's MBTI-to-interest mapping the closest types are ISTJ, ESTJ. Personality is a fit signal, not a gate. The free NueCareer quiz scores your own profile against all 1,731 careers in the bank.

Research sources for this career