---
title: "Will AI Replace Actuaries? (2026)"
description: "BLS rates actuaries' exposure to AI as very high. What that means, which parts of the work AI touches, and the 2025–2035 outlook (+9.2% projected)."
canonical: "https://nuecareer.com/careers/will-ai-replace-actuaries"
last-updated: "2026-10-15T08:19:32.066Z"
---

# Will AI Replace Actuaries? (2026)

**Short answer:** AI will reshape this job more than most, but BLS does not forecast it disappearing. The exposure is among the highest BLS measured, yet it still projects employment to grow faster than average.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics places actuaries in its very high AI exposure category, among the occupations most exposed to current AI. BLS projects employment to change by +9.2% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 1,500 openings a year.

| Measure | Value | Source |
| --- | --- | --- |
| BLS relative AI exposure | Very high | BLS Employment Projections, AI exposure categories |
| NueCareer AI-resilience score | 4/100 | NueCareer analysis of O\*NET 31.0 Database |
| Projected employment change | +9.2% | BLS EP 2025–2035 |
| Openings a year | 1,500 | BLS EP 2025–2035 |
| Median annual wage | $130,000 | BLS OEWS May 2025 |

## Exposure categories

| BLS category | Occupations |
| --- | --- |
| Low | 203 |
| Moderate | 194 |
| High | 190 |
| Very high (this job) | 199 |

Exposure means AI could be or has been used to assist with or complete some of the work. BLS says it does not imply job loss, productivity gains, automation probability or wage effects. Method: https://www.bls.gov/emp/publications/ai-exposure-categories.htm

## What holds up

- Face-to-face discussions: 4.5/5 (O\*NET work context)
- Making decisions and solving problems: 4.7/5 (O\*NET work activity importance)
- Thinking creatively: 3.5/5 (O\*NET work activity importance)

## What AI reaches first

- Processing information: 4.7/5 (O\*NET work activity importance)
- Working with computers: 4.8/5 (O\*NET work activity importance)
- Analyzing data or information: 4.8/5 (O\*NET work activity importance)
- Time spent sitting: 4.8/5 (O\*NET work context)

## O\*NET tasks

- Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business.
- Analyze data to determine premium rates required and cash reserves and liabilities necessary to ensure payment of future benefits.
- Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates.
- Design, review, and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums.
- Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant.
- Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.

## FAQ

**Will AI replace actuaries?**

AI will reshape this job more than most, but BLS does not forecast it disappearing. The exposure is among the highest BLS measured, yet it still projects employment to grow faster than average. BLS defines exposure as AI being able to assist with or complete some of the work, and says it does not imply job loss, productivity gains or wage effects. BLS projects employment to change by +9.2% over 2025–2035, against 3.5% for all occupations, with about 1,500 openings a year.

**How exposed are actuaries to AI?**

BLS sorts 786 occupations into four relative categories: low, moderate, high and very high. Actuaries are in the very high category, alongside 198 other occupations. The categories combine five public measures of where AI could be or already is used, and they compare occupations with each other rather than giving an absolute risk.

**What parts of an actuary's job can AI do?**

In O\*NET's description of the work, the parts that overlap most with what AI handles well are processing information, working with computers and analyzing data or information. The parts that hold up best are face-to-face discussions, making decisions and solving problems and thinking creatively. These come from O\*NET ratings of how important each activity is to the job, read through NueCareer's AI-resilience method.

**Is being an actuary a safe career from AI?**

On NueCareer's AI-resilience score, built from O\*NET work activities, actuaries score 4 out of 100, higher than 0% of the occupations we score. The job pays a median of $130,000 a year (BLS OEWS, May 2025). No job is fully safe from technological change, but the federal exposure category and the projected openings are the two numbers worth weighing.

Full profile: https://nuecareer.com/careers/actuary.

---

This bank includes information from the O\*NET 31.0 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). O\*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. NueCareer has transformed the data by joining it to BLS wage and projection data and deriving facet, personality-fit and AI-resilience scores. BLS and BEA data are public domain (17 U.S.C. §105).

O\*NET content is used under [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). How these figures are sourced and derived: https://nuecareer.com/careers/methodology